In press:
Wasserman, T.N., S. A. Cushman, A. S. Shirk, E. L. Landguth , and J. S. Littell. In press. Simulating the effects of climate change on population connectivity of American marten (Martes americana) in the northern Rocky Mountains, USA. Landscape Ecology.
McKenzie, D., and J.S. Littell. In press. Climate change and wilderness fire regimes. International Journal of Wilderness.
Lutz, E. A., A.F. Hamlet, J.S. Littell. Revised manuscript in review. Estimating seasonal uncertainties in paleo-reconstructed hydrologic variables, with applications to climate change assessments. Water Resources Research.
Published:
Wettstein, J.J., J.S. Littell, Z. Gedalof, J.M. Wallace. 2011. Coherent Region-, Species-, and Frequency-Dependent Local Climate Signals in Northern Hemisphere Tree-Ring Widths. Journal of Climate 24: 5998–6012. PDF
McKelvey, K.S., J. P. Copeland, M. K. Schwartz, J. S. Littell, K. B. Aubry, J. R. Squires, S. A. Parks, M.M. Elsner, G.S. Mauger. 2011. Climate change predicted to shift wolverine distributions, connectivity, and dispersal corridors. Ecological Applications, 21(8): 2882–2897. PDF
Littell, J.S., D. McKenzie, B. K. Kerns, S. Cushman, and C. G. Shaw. Managing uncertainty in climate-driven ecological models to inform adaptation to climate change. Ecosphere. Ecosphere 2:art102. [doi:10.1890/ES11-00114.1] PDF
Pederson, G.T., S. T. Gray, C. A. Woodhouse, J.L. Betancourt, D.B. Fagre, J. S. Littell, E. Watson, B.H. Luckman, and L.J. Graumlich. The Unusual Nature of Recent Snowpack Declines in the North American Cordillera. Science 333, 6040: 332-335 DOI: 10.1126/science.1201570.
Littell, J.S., D.L. Peterson, C.I. Millar, and K. A. O’Halloran. 2011. U.S. National Forests adapt to climate change through science-management partnerships. Climatic Change. Online First, May 21, 2011. DOI 10.1007/s10584-011-0066-0. PDF
Holden, Z., S. A Cushman, M. C. Crimmins , J. S. Littell. 2011. Temporal and Spatial Variability in Warm Season Nocturnal Air Temperatures in Two North Idaho Mountain Ranges. Agricultural and Forest Meteorology 151 (2011) 261–269. PDF
Littell, J.S., E.E. Oneil, D. McKenzie, J.A. Hicke, J.A. Lutz, R.A. Norheim, and M.M. Elsner. 2010. Forest ecosystems, disturbance, and climatic change in Washington State, USA. Climatic Change 102(1-2): 129-158, doi: 10.1007/s10584-010-9858-x. PDF
Miles, E.L., M.M. Elsner, J.S. Littell, L.C. Whitely Binder, and D.P. Lettenmaier. 2010. Assessing regional impacts and adaptation strategies for climate change: the Washington Climate Change Impacts Assessment. Climatic Change 102(1-2): 9-27, doi: 10.1007/s10584-010-9853-2. PDF
Whitely Binder, L.C., J. Krencicki Barcelos, D.B. Booth, M. Darzen, M.M. Elsner, R.A. Fenske, T.F. Graham, A.F. Hamlet, J. Hodges-Howell, J.E. Jackson, C. Karr, P.W. Keys, J.S. Littell, N.J. Mantua, J. Marlow, D. McKenzie, M. Robinson-Dorn, E.A. Rosenberg, C. Stöckle, and J.A. Vano. 2010. Preparing for climate change in Washington State. Climatic Change 102(1-2): 351-376, doi: 10.1007/s10584-010-9850-5.
Littell, J.S., D. McKenzie, D.L. Peterson, and A.L. Westerling. 2009. Climatic influences on
twentieth-century area burned in ecoprovinces of the western U.S. Ecological Applications 19(4): 1003-1021. PDF
Blate, G.M., L.A. Joyce, J.S. Littell, S.G. McNulty, C.I. Millar, S.C. Moser, R.P. Neilson, K.
O’Halloran, and D.L. Peterson. 2009. Adapting to climate change in United States national forests. Unasylva 60(231/232): 57-62. PDF
Littell, J.S., D.L. Peterson, and M. Tjoelker. 2008. Water limits tree growth from stand to region: Douglas-fir growth-climate relationships in Northwestern ecosystems. Ecological Monographs: Vol. 78, No. 3, pp. 349-368. PDF
Heyerdahl, E.K.,D. McKenzie, L.D. Daniels, A.E. Hessl, J.S. Littell, and N.J. Mantua. 2008. Climate drivers of historical surface fires in the inland Northwest. International Journal of Wildland Fire 17: 40-49. PDF
Littell J.S., and D.L. Peterson. 2005. A method for estimating vulnerability of Douglas-fir growth to climate change in the northwestern US. The Forestry Chronicle 81 (3): 369-374. PDF
Graumlich, L.J., M.F.J. Pisaric, L.A. Waggoner, J.S. Littell and J.C. King. 2003. Upper Yellowstone River Flow and Teleconnections with Pacific Basin Climate Variability During the Past Three Centuries. Climatic Change 59: 245-262. PDF
Book Chapters / Reports:
Littell, J.S. In press. Future climate on the Olympic Peninsula. In press. Chapter 3 in J.E.Halofsky, D.L. Peterson, K.A. O’Halloran, and C. Hawkins Hoffman eds.. Adapting to Climate Change at Olympic National Forest and Olympic National Park. U.S. Department of Agriculture, Forest Service, Pacific Northwest Research Station Portland, Oregon. General Technical Report PNW-GTR-xxxx. 2011
Littell, J.S. and R. Gwozdz. 2011. Climatic Water Balance and Regional Fire Years in the Pacific Northwest, USA: Linking RegionalClimate and Fire at Landscape Scales. Chapter 5 in McKenzie, D., C.M. Miller, and D.A. Falk, eds. The Landscape Ecology of Fire, Ecological Studies 213, DOI 10.1007/978-94-007-0301-8_5, © Springer Science+Business Media B.V. 2011. PDF
McWethy D. B., S. T. Gray, P. E. Higuera, J. S. Littell, G. T. Pederson, A.J. Ray, and C. Whitlock. 2010. Climate and terrestrial ecosystem change in the U.S. Rocky Mountains and Upper Columbia Basin: Historical and future perspectives for natural resource management. Natural Resource Report NPS/GRYN/NRR—2010/260. National Park Service, Fort Collins, Colorado. PDF
Cushman, S. A., J. Littell, and K. McGarigal. 2010. The Problem of Ecological Scaling in Spatially Complex, Nonequilibrium Ecological Systems. Chapter 3 in Cushman, S.A., and F. Huettmann, eds. Spatial Complexity, Informatics, and Wildlife Conservation. Springer Japan. Google Books
Littell, J.S., M. McGuire Elsner, L.C. Whitely Binder, A. Snover (eds). 2009. The Washington Climate Change Impacts Assessment: Evaluating Washington's Future in a Changing Climate - Executive Summary. In The Washington Climate Change Impacts Assessment: Evaluating Washington's Future in a Changing Climate, Climate Impacts Group, University of Washington, Seattle, Washington. PDF
Littell, J.S., E.E. Oneil, D. McKenzie, J.A. Hicke, J.A. Lutz, R.A. Norheim, and M. McGuire Elsner. 2009. Forest ecosystems, disturbance, and climatic change in Washington State, USA. Chapter 7 in The Washington Climate Change Impacts Assessment: Evaluating Washington's Future in a Changing Climate, Climate Impacts Group, University of Washington, Seattle, Washington. PDF
McKenzie, D., D.L. Peterson, and J.S. Littell. 2008. Global warming and stress complexes in
forests of western North America. 319-337. In S. V. Krupa (series editor), Developments in Environmental Science, Vol. 8, Wild Land Fires and Air Pollution, A. Bytnerowicz, M. Arbaugh, A. Riebau, and C. Anderson (eds.). Amsterdam, The Netherlands: Elsevier Science, Ltd. PDF
Joyce, L.A., G.M. Blate, J.S. Littell, S.G. McNulty, C.I. Millar, S.C. Moser, and R.P. Neilson. 2008. National forests. Chapter 3 in S.H. Julius, J.M. West (eds.), J.S. Baron, B.Griffith, L.A. Joyce, P. Kareiva, B.D. Keller, M.A. Palmer, C.H. Peterson, and J.M. Scott (Authors), Preliminary Review of Adaptation Options for Climate-Sensitive Ecosystems and Resources. A Report by the U.S. Climate Change Science Program and the Subcommittee on Global Change Research. U.S. Environmental Protection Agency, Washington, DC, USA, pp. 3-1 to 3-127. PDF
Cushman, S.A., D. McKenzie, D.L. Peterson, J.S. Littell, and K.S. McKelvey. 2007. Research
agenda for integrated landscape modeling. USDA Forest Service RMRS General Technical Report RMRS-GTR-194. PDF
Other (non-peer reviewed) publications:
Littell, J.S., M.M. Elsner, G. Mauger, E. Lutz, A.F. Hamlet,, and E. Salathé. 2011. Regional Climate and Hydrologic Change in the Northern US Rockies and Pacific Northwest: Internally Consistent Projections of Future Climate for Resource Management. Report PDF
Elsner, M.M., J.S. Littell, A.F. Hamlet. 2009. Simulated potential evapotranspiration over the Pacific Northwest and implications for forests in a changing climate. Eos Trans. AGU, 90(52), Fall Meet. Suppl., Abstract H23I-03.
Littell, J.S., G.T. Pederson, L.J. Graumlich, M.J. Germino, E. Rowland. 2009. Climate and 20th century establishment in alpine treeline ecotones of the western US. Eos Trans. AGU, 90(52), Fall Meet. Suppl., Abstract B33A-0365.
Holden, Z. S. Cushman, J. Evans, J.S. Littell. 2009. Predicting Individual Tree and Shrub Species Distributions with Empirically Derived Microclimate Surfaces in a Complex Mountain Ecosystem in Northern Idaho, USA. Eos Trans. AGU, 90(52), Fall Meet. Suppl., Abstract B33A-0369.
McKenzie, D. and J.S. Littell. 2009. Climate Change, Fire, Insects, and Disturbance Interactions: Adaptation Challenges in the West. Mountain Views 3(1): 3 – 6. PDF
Littell, J.S., and D.L. Peterson. 2009. Pacific Northwest Forests and Climate. Western Forester 54(1):1-5. PDF
Peterson, D.L., J.S. Littell, and K. O'Halloran. 2008. Adapting to climate change on Olympic
National Forest. Mountain Views 2(1): 15-18. PDF
Littell, J.S. and L.J. Graumlich. 2007. A biophysical gradient analysis of climate for understanding conifer establishment in mountain ecosystems of the western U.S. Eos Trans. AGU, 88(52), Fall Meet. Suppl., Abstract GC41A-0112.
Littell, J.S., D.L. Peterson, and D. McKenzie. 2006. Abiotic Gradients and Climate-Growth
Relationships in Douglas-fir: Water Limits Tree Growth in Mountain Ecosystems from Stand to Region. Eos Trans. AGU, 87(52), Fall Meet. Suppl., Abstract C31C-04.
McKenzie, D., D.L. Peterson, and J.S. Littell. 2005. Effects of a warmer climate on stress complexes in forest of western North America.. EOS Trans. AGU 86(52); Fall Meet. Suppl., Abstract GC32A.
Littell, J.S. 1998. Effects of climate fluctuation on small mammal community structure in a biome transition zone. Huxley College Senior Thesis.
Littell, J.S. 1998. Post-settlement disturbance and succession in northern Minnesota forests: Is reestablishment of Pinus strobus forests possible? Huxley College Senior Project.
